Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.020585 0.022155 0.023788 0.025614 0.027601 0.029700 0.032086
2025-12-21 0.017997 0.020258 0.022731 0.025644 0.028989 0.032717 0.037201
2025-12-28 0.016186 0.018829 0.021831 0.025504 0.029896 0.034999 0.041409
2026-01-04 0.014898 0.017797 0.021189 0.025473 0.030768 0.037135 0.045430
2026-01-11 0.013934 0.017027 0.020741 0.025559 0.031689 0.039287 0.049506
2026-01-18 0.013109 0.016340 0.020309 0.025583 0.032469 0.041236 0.053376
2026-01-25 0.012461 0.015815 0.020021 0.025734 0.033372 0.043343 0.057528
2026-02-01 0.011728 0.015124 0.019463 0.025473 0.033681 0.044641 0.060622
2026-02-08 0.011016 0.014415 0.018828 0.025054 0.033724 0.045543 0.063176
2026-02-15 0.010466 0.013885 0.018396 0.024869 0.034054 0.046829 0.066314
2026-02-22 0.009940 0.013355 0.017930 0.024600 0.034232 0.047884 0.069146
2026-03-01 0.009488 0.012905 0.017545 0.024414 0.034502 0.049064 0.072206
2026-03-08 0.009028 0.012435 0.017129 0.024190 0.034746 0.050276 0.075489
2026-03-15 0.008686 0.012116 0.016914 0.024248 0.035410 0.052156 0.079950
2026-03-22 0.008316 0.011738 0.016591 0.024121 0.035778 0.053593 0.083785
2026-03-29 0.008003 0.011426 0.016346 0.024092 0.036285 0.055257 0.088079
2026-04-05 0.007744 0.011179 0.016182 0.024173 0.036957 0.057208 0.092963
2026-04-12 0.007487 0.010924 0.015990 0.024196 0.037528 0.059014 0.097707
2026-04-19 0.007278 0.010729 0.015880 0.024338 0.038292 0.061168 0.103186
2026-04-26 0.006987 0.010397 0.015542 0.024093 0.038399 0.062218 0.106759
2026-05-03 0.006679 0.010025 0.015125 0.023699 0.038231 0.062781 0.109470
2026-05-10 0.006441 0.009752 0.014852 0.023525 0.038422 0.063965 0.113395
2026-05-17 0.006199 0.009464 0.014542 0.023273 0.038459 0.064873 0.116846